Part I
Why do people have to work?
In capitalistic and socialistic countries, economist and politicians on the left and on the right, as well common folks know that
in order to have a nice life a person MUST work
(unless he or she inherits a fortune, or wins a lottery).
This proposition -
in order to have a nice life a person MUST work
- does not generate questions or doubts.
It is considered a common-sense rule.
It is used as a fundamental axiom, a basic social and economic principle for the functioning of any society.
It is like the Euclidian axiom that two parallel lines never cross.
But then Nikolai Lobachevsky came and asked “Why?”.
And developed a brand new, beautiful, and absolutely abstract not related to anything in a real world geometry.
And then Albert Einstein stepped in and taught us that our space and time are described by that new, beautiful, and absolutely unexpected and counterintuitive geometry.
Maybe, next time when we think, or read, or hear that in order to have a nice life a person MUST work we could also ask “Why?”.
Maybe that could lead to a brand new, beautiful (or just practical), and badly needed social-economic philosophy, which could lead to a brand new, beautiful (or just practical), and badly needed social-economic theory, which could leave to a brand new, beautiful (or just practical), and badly needed social-economic practice?
Imagine that one day we wake up and find out that aliens visited the Earth and now every city, every town, every village has a huge magical warehouse where everyone can ask for anything and a magical black box will make it for him or her. For free. For anyone. For everyone. Forever.
Too futuristic?
Well.
What if soon the advances in robotics, genetic engineering, artificial intelligence and technologies in general would lead to such warehouses where anyone could get for free any basic life related item (food, cloth, transportation, even a home)?
Would people still HAD to work in order to have a nice life?
And if not – how would that affect the whole social structure, individual and group behavior, politics, governing, education, progress?
Maybe the idea of the “basic income” is the answer, maybe not – I do not know.
But I think this scenario deserves further exploration, because the technologies make it less and less imaginary and more and more realistic.
Part II
Part II
That is why I wrote an open letter to some of the proponents of the idea of the “basic income”.
Dear Mr. Sam
Altman, Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Chris Hughes, and Sir Richard Branson.
According to
a WSJ video (https://www.wsj.com/video/series/moving-upstream/basic-income-the-free-money-experiments-moving-upstream/AAF2641C-53F5-4C32-99C9-C0BD8409D7C6),
or just the Internet search, you all ponder the idea of a basic income.
The point of this
publication is simple: if you really truly believe in that idea
STOP discussing the idea of a basic income
(leave it to politologists, sociologists,
philosophers, etc.)
START discussing the mechanism of the realization!
BTW: the mission of true management is designing and constructing social structures which become mechanisms for making a transition form an idea to its realization, you all are considered as highly experienced managers.
You may have different reasons for that (see Appendix I for more), but the best strategy for moving ahead would be
You may have different reasons for that (see Appendix I for more), but the best strategy for moving ahead would be
zeroing in on a practical mechanism for
a possible local implementation,
and a future broad
realization of the idea.
First, stop calling it "guaranteed income". You seem don't know well your fellow Americans, for many of whom this word combination sounds un-American (you should figure out - why). Find a better term, e.g. "assured decent living", "human investment", or else.
There is no dignity in receiving free money, no self- respect, Americans do not want charity from rich people or from the Government. But they would accept help that could move them up a social ladder. And for the Government, giving those money with no restrictions must be seen as an investment in human capital - the most important capital any nation can have.
Second, currently, all proponents and opponents of a basic income discuss only one possible mechanism for the realization of the idea (https://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/wage-subsidy-better-way-help-poor-7778.html), which is the governmental redistribution of funds collected via taxation;
There is no dignity in receiving free money, no self- respect, Americans do not want charity from rich people or from the Government. But they would accept help that could move them up a social ladder. And for the Government, giving those money with no restrictions must be seen as an investment in human capital - the most important capital any nation can have.
Second, currently, all proponents and opponents of a basic income discuss only one possible mechanism for the realization of the idea (https://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/wage-subsidy-better-way-help-poor-7778.html), which is the governmental redistribution of funds collected via taxation;
or, in
simple words, taking money from the rich by boosting taxes on them, and
using those money to support poor via various governmental programs.
This is what
conservatives rightly call "redistribution of wealth", although, they
forget to mention that redistribution of wealth had been know from the day
wealth had become a part of human life - so thousands of years.
In my view, the governmental
redistribution of funds collected via taxation is the least probable approach, and will
not happen in America (at least any soon).
In America, for millions of people, taxes are as sacred and untouchable as cows in India. This situation will not change any soon, because the view on taxation is deeply rooted into American traditions, into “what does it mean to be American”, into psychology of general public. Accepting this as a fact, one needs to search for mechanisms outside of the taxation (preferably, based on behavioral economics, which proves that most people make economic decisions based on their “feelings” more often than based on thorough calculations; in short, psychology leads economy; https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/oct/09/nobel-prize-in-economics-richard-thaler).
In America, for millions of people, taxes are as sacred and untouchable as cows in India. This situation will not change any soon, because the view on taxation is deeply rooted into American traditions, into “what does it mean to be American”, into psychology of general public. Accepting this as a fact, one needs to search for mechanisms outside of the taxation (preferably, based on behavioral economics, which proves that most people make economic decisions based on their “feelings” more often than based on thorough calculations; in short, psychology leads economy; https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/oct/09/nobel-prize-in-economics-richard-thaler).
That is why
- as a practical mechanism for realisation of the idea of a better wealth
distribution - I propose a creation of a “Federal Entitlement
Fund” (or a “Federal Fund for a Basic Income”, or a “Federal Fund for the
Advancement of the Living”, or a “Federal Fund for the Advancement of the
Living Conditions)”.
The Fund
will function in a way similar to the Federal Reserve and the Supreme Court,
i.e. the board will be composed based on a consensus between the Congress and
the White House (and, maybe, the Governor’s Association); but the board will
function independently from all other business and government entities, and the
members are elected for life.
The goals
and functioning of the board will be:
* Establishing
on the annual basis the minimum level of the “States decent living” (may be
different for different States).
* The
board will be annually providing a formal definition of a “decent living”.
* Every
citizen and permanent resident who makes less than that level can apply for the
financial help.
* Every
U.S. based business will have to pay a one-time annual fee.
* The
amount of the fee will be determined by the board depending on the number of
the requests, and the total amount of the funds needed to grant those requests
(and the funds required for the functioning of the Fund, so the functioning of
the Fund would not depend on the federal budget).
* The
amount of the fee will be determined by the board according to the formula set
by the board on the annual basis.
* The
fee is NOT a tax, it does NOT go to a federal budget, it CANNOT be used for anything else but the activities set by the board.
* If
needed, the board may file a request to the governmental budgeting entities to request funds
from the federal budget.
It is very important
to stress, that only the board will be setting up the targets and the brackets
for collecting and distributed the funds, and it will be done annually (without
a need for a long legislative process, because it is NOT related to the federal tax code).
Results:
* This
approach will lead to ensuring that every US citizen will have a “decent
living” conditions.
* More
importantly, this
approach will become a strong psychological instrument; this approach will provide incentives
for business owners to stimulate the wages of the employees, because that
would result in decreasing the number of requests to the fund, which would lead
to the decrease (and maybe even a complete elimination) of the fee.
* More
importantly, this
approach will become a strong psychological instrument; this approach will
provide incentives
for business owners to stimulate job creation, because that would result in
decreasing the number of requests to the fund, which would lead to the decrease
(and maybe even a complete elimination) of the fee.
* Even
more importantly, this approach will
become a strong psychological instrument; this approach will provide incentives for
business owners to join forces and to reach out to legislative bodies to push
for laws and regulations which would stimulate job creation and wage growth,
because that would result in decreasing the number of requests to the fund,
which would lead to the decrease (and maybe even a complete elimination) of the
fee.
This
approach can be attempted starting on a scale of one company, or one State.
All business
owners who would generally support the idea of a basic income could join the
funds and create one mutual fund for the initial experimental program. Of
course, that would mean that each individual business owner would lost his or
her name and ownership over his or her individual program. However, on the
other hand, that would mean that all business owners involved in the project
would mutually own the idea. This collaboration would greatly increase the
effectiveness of the program.
Of course,
this collaboration will not happen until some of the business owner starts
reaching out to other business owners, inviting to discuss the creation of the
Fund.
To learn more about my professional experience:
The voices of my students
"The Backpack Full of Cash": pointing at a problem, not offering a solution
Essentials of Teaching Science
Dear Visitor, please, feel free to use the buttons below to share your feelings (ANY!) about this post to your Twitter of Facebook followers.
The voices of my students
"The Backpack Full of Cash": pointing at a problem, not offering a solution
Essentials of Teaching Science
Dear Visitor, please, feel free to use the buttons below to share your feelings (ANY!) about this post to your Twitter of Facebook followers.
Appendix I.
The idea of
a basic income is not new: http://basicincome.org/basic-income/history/.
For many
business owners pondering the idea of a basic income, the reason behind the
idea is mostly practical: advances in automisation, robotisation, machine
leaning and AI (which so far is far from human intelligence; http://www.cognisity.how/2017/04/AIforEDU.html)
may lead to many people not having a good paying job, and the increase in the
number of economically depressed people may lead to social unrest.
However, the
idea of basic income has deep moral and philosophical roots.
One should
start from questions like:
· Why
do people have to work for having a good living?
· Why
do people work and still not having a good living?
· Why
do people have to work?
· Do
people have to work?
· Who
and how decides who and how much a person is a valuable person?
· How
much do people need to work to be considered valuable?
· How
many people need to consider someone valuable in order that one would deserve
some financial reword?
· How
many people need to consider someone’s work valuable in order that one would
deserve some financial reword?
· How
to assess the importance of a person?
· Does
the amount of money one has correlates to the one’s social weight and
importance?
· Does
the amount of money one has reflects the significant of work done by the one?
· Does
the amount of money one has reflects the amount of work done by the one?
· Is
a person who has ten times more money than another person also ten times more
valuable for the society?
· How
much different factors are reflected in the total worth of a person?
· What
is “wealth”?
· Who
are true wealth creators? (http://the3dforce.blogspot.com/2017/09/wealth.html)
But the most important question is "What is FAIR?"
But the most important question is "What is FAIR?"
For example,
when an owner of a company issuing IPO becomes a billionaire, how much of that
is due to the talent of the owner, how much of that is due to the effort of the
owner, and how much of that due to other factors, like good timing, good luck,
greed. The latter – greed – is related to the actions of the people who have
decided how many stocks to print, what price to set, and who and how much would
also profit from the mere fact of a stock offering.
BTW: what the government can do is to pass a law according to which 2 % of every new IPO should go to the “Federal Entitlement Fund”. Automatically. Because the only reason all those venture capitalist firms and hedge funds exist is people who live in the Country.
BTW: what the government can do is to pass a law according to which 2 % of every new IPO should go to the “Federal Entitlement Fund”. Automatically. Because the only reason all those venture capitalist firms and hedge funds exist is people who live in the Country.
But the true
philosophical and moral question is related to the nature of human activities,
including work.
One may
think that almost
all people are naturally, intrinsically lazy, and without fear for their
existence they would never work.
Or.
One may
think that almost
all people are naturally, intrinsically creative, and – if given an opportunity
– would work even without fear for their existence.
Depending on
the general view on the human nature people would have opposite vies on the
very idea of a basic income.
For example,
if people are intrinsically lazy, they do not deserve any income besides pay
for their work. If that income is not enough, it is the fault of those people.
If people
are intrinsically creative, all people deserve a “decent life”, and if someone
does not make enough money, it is not his or her fault but a glitch in the
social-economic system. If someone gets money but does not work, maybe that
person just cannot work (too young, too old, too sick, too under-educated)?
Of course,
answers to such questions like: “What is the nature of human activity?”, or
“What is the mission of human subjects?”, or “What are those intrinsic norms
which govern people’s actions?” would only be a beginning of a long and broad
philosophical discussion.
Appendix II:
The same
approach can be used to decrease spending on health insurance, and to increase
the number of insured citizens via a creation (eventually) of a “Federal Health
Care Fund”.
The Fund
will function in a way similar to the Federal Reserve and the Supreme Court,
i.e. the board will be composed based on a consensus between the Congress and
the White House (and, maybe, the Governor’s Association); but the board will
function independently from all other business and government entities, and the
members are elected for life.
The goals
and functioning of the board will be:
* Establishing
on the annual basis the minimum level of the “States health insurance coverage”
(may be different for different States).
* Every
citizen and permanent resident who does not have health insurance coverage can
apply for the financial help to cover medical expenses.
* Every
U.S. citizen and a U.S. based business will have to pay a one-time annual fee.
* The
amount of the fee will be determined by the board depending on the number of
the requests, and the total amount of the fund need to grant those requests.
* The
amount of the fee will be determined by the board according to the formula set
by the board on the annual basis.
* The
fee is NOT a tax, it does NOT go to a federal budget, it CANNOT be used on
anything else but the activities set by the board.
* If
needed, the board may file a request to the budgeting entities to request funds
from the federal budget.
Results:
* This
approach will lead to ensuring that every US citizen will have sufficient
health insurance.
* More
importantly, this approach will become a strong psychological instrument; this
approach will provide incentives for business owners to provide sufficient
health insurance, because that would result in decreasing the number of
requests to the fund, which would lead to the decrease (and maybe even a
complete elimination) of the fee.
* More
importantly, this approach will become a strong psychological instrument; this
approach will provide incentives for business owners to extend the health
insurance coverage in the various forms, because that would result in
decreasing the number of requests to the fund, which would lead to the decrease
(and maybe even a complete elimination) of the fee.
* More
importantly, this approach will become a strong psychological instrument; this
approach will provide incentives for business owners to reach out to healthcare
providers and healthcare insurers to make them to lower the cost of the
healthcare, which would lead to the decrease (and maybe even a complete
elimination) of the fee.
Appendix III.
When someone
tells us that “this is the way to do it just because it has been done that way
for years and decades”, we all should ask “but what about Donald Trump? He
broke all the rules of political engagement, and of a Presidential campaign,
and succeeded, despite the disbelief of all major political and social
analysts. Donald Trump is a clear proof that even the least expected things can
happen”.
Of course,
we could also just turn to a history in general, or to the history of science,
to see how wide-spread views and opinions (“The Earth is flat”) have been
replaced by new views and opinions (“The Earth is round”).
Nowadays, we
can expect that the same type of an opinion change can happen again, but this
time in politics and economics.
Let’s take a
look at taxes, for example.
The
conventional models do not work anymore. If nothing will be done, the federal
government may become insolvent simply due to payments related to financing the
government debt. Another extreme possibility is cutting all government support
to low income citizens but to risk a social instability. Standard models do not
offer any other options except theses two.
In a
situation like this, all ideas should be
welcome and discussed and analyzed.
For example, an idea of raising
taxes on everyone.
It is
assumed that raising taxes on people will automatically make their life worse –
because people will have left with less money.
However,
this assumption is too general.
Raising
taxes may be complimented by other legislative actions, which could lead
simultaneously to a drop in the cost of living.
For example,
a household would have to pay $300 more in annual taxes, but the cost of food
would drop so the same household would spend $500 less a year.
That would
increase the level of living.
This example
shows that statement “raising taxes always lowers standard
of living” is wrong, in general. Only the complete analysis of all
possibilities can demonstrate the net effect of any proposed tax/financial
reform.
Appendix IV.
Innovation,
vision, creativity, an ability to think outside of a box, an
ability to think are important in business, in venture capital adventures, in
R&D for new devices, new designs, new applications.
But innovation, vision, creativity, an ability to think outside of a box, an ability to think are also important in social designing (including education: e.g. http://www.teachology.xyz/30uS.html, or https://teachologyforall.blogspot.com/2017/03/YidanPrize.html; etc.).
But innovation, vision, creativity, an ability to think outside of a box, an ability to think are also important in social designing (including education: e.g. http://www.teachology.xyz/30uS.html, or https://teachologyforall.blogspot.com/2017/03/YidanPrize.html; etc.).
Appendix
V.
An original
post on taxes and tax cuts:
http://the3dforce.blogspot.com/2017/11/taxcode.html
Appendix VI:
the letter to Mr. Chris Hughes
To: Mr. Chris
Hughes
Dear Mr. Hughes,
Your experiment
with “The New Republic” demonstrates the difference between having good intentions and making the right steps.
In your
book “Fair Shot: Rethinking Inequality and How We Earn” you make many very good
points.
For example,
“We need to
be as open to creative, new ideas as the most forward-thinking leaders of the
Progressive Era were then.”
“Unique
circumstances had more to do with our success than others realized.”
“No average
American has any way to buy shares in the early days of the lives of valuable
companies.”
However,
your approach to the implementation of the idea of “basic income” has flaws,
mostly due to underestimating some of the
psychological traits of American people.
You write
that “Venture capitalists plan for seven out of ten of their investments to
fail, two to break even, and one to explode in value, wiping out all of the
other losses and guaranteeing a high return.”
Consider
spending your time on reading this letter (the larger part of which for your convenience
is posted in the form of an online page at http://www.cognisity.how/2018/04/bincome.html)
as an investment which may fail, but may lead to some valuable lessons useful
to making your strategy more efficient.
Sincerely,
Dr.
Valentin Voroshilov
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